Viendo archivo del martes, 19 junio 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jun 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 170 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jun 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

Solar activity decreased to low levels. Isolated, optically uncorrelated, low-level C-class x-ray flares occurred. An optically uncorrelated Type II radio sweep (estimated shock velocity 650 km/sec) occurred at 19/0335 UTC. Regions 9503 (N15W07) and 9506 (N18E20) each possessed a minor degree of magnetic complexity, but were stable through the period. The remaining regions were simply-structured and stable. New Region 9509 (S10W03) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. There will be a fair chance for an isolated M-class flare during the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity ranged from quiet to active levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with a chance for active periods early on the first day.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jun a 22 Jun
Clase M40%40%40%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 Jun 195
  Previsto   20 Jun-22 Jun  190/190/190
  Media de 90 Días        19 Jun 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jun  025/034
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 19 Jun  015/018
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 20 Jun-22 Jun  010/012-007/010-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jun a 22 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%20%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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