Viendo archivo del domingo, 5 agosto 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Aug 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 217 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Aug 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. An M1/Sf flare occurred at
05/1531 UTC. Subflares in Regions 9557 (S21W51) and 9566 (N17E08)
occurred during the M-flare, contributing to the total X-ray flux of
the event. These Regions also produced several C-class flares during
the past day. Region 9563 (N23W07) produced C-class subflare
activity as well. All of these sunspot groups continued to grow. New
Regions 9569 (S18E10) and 9570 (S10E76) were numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. M-class flares are possible in Regions 9557, 9563, and
9566.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled becoming active to minor
storm after 05/0600 UTC. The field was most disturbed from
05/0900-1200 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next 24 hours becoming
quiet to unsettled by the second day of the forecast period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Aug a 08 Aug
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Aug 156 Previsto 06 Aug-08 Aug 160/165/165 Media de 90 Días 05 Aug 149
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Aug 007/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Aug 020/022 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Aug-08 Aug 015/015-015/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Aug a 08 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 02% | 02% | 02% |
All times in UTC
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