Viendo archivo del martes, 28 agosto 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Aug 28 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 240 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Aug 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity has been moderate. There were three M-class events observed during the period. Region 9591 (S19W06) produced an M1/1N at 28/0012 UTC. Region 9601 (N12E73) produced an M1/Sf at 28/0840 UTC and an M1/Sn at 28/1611 UTC with an associated Type II and Type IV radio sweep. Region 9591 remains the largest region on the disk and maintains its Fki beta-gamma-delta configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate. A major flare is possible from Region 9591.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Aug a 31 Aug
Clase M80%80%80%
Clase X20%20%20%
Protón20%20%20%
PCAFyellow
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Aug 199
  Previsto   29 Aug-31 Aug  205/205/210
  Media de 90 Días        28 Aug 154
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Aug  014/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Aug  010/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Aug a 31 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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