Viendo archivo del domingo, 2 septiembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 245 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Sep 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Regions 9591
(S18W65) and 9601 (N14E08 produced three M-class events between
them. The largest was an M3/2n at 02/1348 UTC from Region 9591.
Both of these regions have decayed slightly since yesterday, but
Region 9591 continues to retain a beta-gamma-delta magnetic
configuration. New Region 9603 (S08E64) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high with Region 9591 and 9601 capable of producing a
major flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled. Isolated active
conditions are possible for September 03 and 04.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Sep a 05 Sep
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Sep 183 Previsto 03 Sep-05 Sep 180/175/170 Media de 90 Días 02 Sep 157
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Sep 004/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Sep 008/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Sep-05 Sep 015/015-012/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Sep a 05 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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