Viendo archivo del viernes, 21 septiembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 264 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Sep 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest flare of the past
day was a C7/Sf at 21/0702 UTC in Region 9631 (N09W24). Regions 9620
(N11E04), 9628 (S18E38), and 9632 (S17E56) also produced C-class
subflares. The largest, most magnetically complex sunspot groups
appear to be 9628 and 9632.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. M-class activity is possible from a number of areas,
including Regions 9620, 9628, and 9632.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Sep 239 Previsto 22 Sep-24 Sep 245/250/250 Media de 90 Días 21 Sep 165
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 007/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 006/009 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Sep-24 Sep 010/015-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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