Viendo archivo del domingo, 23 septiembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 266 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Sep 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 9632 (S18E32)
produced an M1/Sn flare at 1137 UTC, the day's only M-class event.
That region is still large -- 780 millionths in white light area --
and magnetically complex. Other regions of note are 9622 (N13W45)
and 9628 (S18E12). One new region was born on the disk, Region 9635
(N22E13), a simple bipole.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to persist
at the moderate level.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field varied from quiet to minor storm levels in the
past 24 hours. A shock passed the ACE spacecraft at about 0800 UTC,
followed by an increase in solar wind radial speed to near 600 km/s.
Periods of active to minor storm levels resulted from this fast
solar wind.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active throughout the forecast period.
The current high speed solar wind stream may persist over the next
few days, bringing occasional episodes of minor storm conditions to
all latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Sep a 26 Sep
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Sep 259 Previsto 24 Sep-26 Sep 265/270/270 Media de 90 Días 23 Sep 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Sep 006/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Sep 015/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Sep-26 Sep 010/012-010/018-010/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Sep a 26 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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