Viendo archivo del lunes, 29 octubre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Oct 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 302 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Oct 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate to high. Several
M-class events occurred during the period. Region 9682 (N12E18)
produced the largest of these with an M3/1f at 29/1113 UTC. The
event had an associated Type II radio sweep with a speed of 609
km/s. This region has grown in both area and sunspot count since
yesterday and retains its beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. There is also a possibility of a major flare from
Region 9682.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been unsettled to active.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Oct a 01 Nov
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Protón | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Oct 216 Previsto 30 Oct-01 Nov 210/205/200 Media de 90 Días 29 Oct 201
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Oct 034/041 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Oct 015/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov 010/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Oct a 01 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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