Viendo archivo del miércoles, 31 octubre 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Oct 31 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 304 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Oct 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z

Solar activity has been moderate. Region 9682 (N11W10) produced an M3/1n event at 31/0809 UTC. This region has an Ekc spot classification and maintains its beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. Two new regions were numbered today as Regions 9685 (N05E68) and 9686 (N16E68).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. There is a continued possibility for a major flare from Region 9682.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. A weak shock was observed on the ACE spacecraft at 31/1253 UTC, followed by a 6 nt sudden impulse at 31/1352 UTC observed on the Boulder magnetometer.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active conditions are possible on November 1 resulting from a CME observed on October 29.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Nov a 03 Nov
Clase M80%80%80%
Clase X35%35%35%
Protón15%15%15%
PCAFyellow
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       31 Oct 221
  Previsto   01 Nov-03 Nov  210/200/195
  Media de 90 Días        31 Oct 203
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 30 Oct  006/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 31 Oct  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 01 Nov-03 Nov  010/015-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Nov a 03 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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