Viendo archivo del viernes, 2 noviembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Nov 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 306 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Nov 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. There were two M-class
events during the past 24 hours. The first was an M1/1f at 2352 UTC
from Region 9682 (N12W37), and the second was an M1/Sf at 0809 UTC
from Region 9687 (S19E61). Region 9682 continues to dominate the
disk in size and complexity. Region 9687, however, has exhibited
more frequent flare activity. Region 9684 (N06E00) appears to be
growing slowly and is developing some magnetic complexity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
mostly moderate, but there continues to be a chance for an isolated
major flare event during the next three days. Regions 9682 and 9687
are considered to be the most likely sources for energetic activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Nov a 05 Nov
| Clase M | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Nov 214 Previsto 03 Nov-05 Nov 215/215/220 Media de 90 Días 02 Nov 205
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Nov 015/025 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Nov 008/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Nov-05 Nov 012/008-010/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Nov a 05 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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