Viendo archivo del sábado, 17 noviembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Nov 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 321 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Nov 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 9704 (S18E28)
produced a long-duration M2/1n flare at 17/0525 UTC. This flare was
accompanied by Type II/IV radio sweep events. Region 9697 (N13W06)
also flared today, the largest being a C3/1f at 16/2146 UTC. Region
9690 (S18W80) is exiting the visible disk without incident.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 9704 is the most likely source of M-class
activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. A single period of active
conditions occurred at many locations from 17/1200-1500 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Nov 199 Previsto 18 Nov-20 Nov 195/190/185 Media de 90 Días 17 Nov 217
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Nov 004/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Nov 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Nov-20 Nov 008/010-008/010-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Nov a 20 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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