Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 diciembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Dec 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 341 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Dec 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was low during the past 24 hours. Region
9727 (S22E16) produced today's largest flare: a C8/2f at 0817 UTC.
This region is the most magnetically complex sunspot group on the
disk and is showing slow growth. Region 9718 (S06W51) is the largest
group on the disk, but has a relatively simple magnetic
configuration and did not produce any flare activity. New Region
9732 (N03E64) rotated into view today and showed occasional
brightenings. A partial halo CME was observed in coronagraph images
today: the event crossed the C2 field of view in about 80-90
minutes, beginning at 1430 UTC. Most of the mass appeared to be over
the northwest limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Regions 9727 and 9718 are considered to be the most
likely sources for M-class level activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next 24 hours, and
predominantly unsettled for the 2nd and 3rd days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Dec a 10 Dec
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Dec 226 Previsto 08 Dec-10 Dec 225/220/210 Media de 90 Días 07 Dec 219
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Dec 010/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Dec 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec 007/008-010/008-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Dec a 10 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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