Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 diciembre 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Dec 17 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 351 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Dec 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Only isolated, minor C-class events occurred during the period. Region 9733 (N14E48) continued to show signs of gradual decay as it nears the west limb. This region lost its delta configuration and now retains a beta-gamma classification. Region 9742 (N08E51) is showing signs of increased magnetic complexity and should develop into a beta-gamma classification in the next one or two days.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. There is still a slight chance of a major event occurring from Region 9733.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with active conditions occurring at higher latitudes.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. There is still a slight chance for a proton flare from Region 9733.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Dec a 20 Dec
Clase M75%75%75%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 Dec 203
  Previsto   18 Dec-20 Dec  200/195/190
  Media de 90 Días        17 Dec 214
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 16 Dec  008/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 17 Dec  010/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 18 Dec-20 Dec  008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Dec a 20 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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