Viendo archivo del lunes, 11 febrero 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Feb 11 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 042 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Feb 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Only low level C-class events observed during the period from Region 9821 (S13W25), 9822 (N18E26), and 9825 (N12E43). Two new regions were numbered today as Region's 9827 (S25W43) and 9828 (S15E50).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. An isolated M-class event is possible from Region 9821 and 9825.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to active. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit were enhanced to moderate levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active conditions are possible for 13 February with the influence of a high speed stream. The greater than 2 Mev electrons are expected to be enhanced to moderate levels through 13 February.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Feb a 14 Feb
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Feb 202
  Previsto   12 Feb-14 Feb  205/210/215
  Media de 90 Días        11 Feb 222
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Feb  007/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Feb  012/015
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Feb-14 Feb  008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Feb a 14 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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