Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 febrero 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Feb 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 055 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Feb 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 9830 (S17W64) produced several C-class events, the largest being a C7/Sf at 23/2250Z, and a C9/Sf flare at 24/2031Z. This region continues to be the largest and most active region on the visible disk and still maintains a delta configuration. Region 9844 (N22E18), a relatively small D type group, developed some complexity and produced occasional C-class flares, the largest being a C5/Sf at 24/2052Z. Region 9841 (S20W47) produced a C4/Sf at 24/1447Z, with a Type II sweep (800km/s). New flux emergence and occasional subflares were observed in Regions 9839 (S17W35), and 9842 (S19W23). New Regions 9846 (S04W37), and 9847 (S14E50) were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 9830 still maintains good potential for an M-class flare with an isolated chance of a major flare. Regions 9839, 9842, and 9844 will likely produce occasional C-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with very isolated unsettled periods.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at mostly quiet levels with occasional unsettled periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Feb a 27 Feb
Clase M50%50%40%
Clase X10%10%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Feb 193
  Previsto   25 Feb-27 Feb  190/185/180
  Media de 90 Días        24 Feb 223
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Feb  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Feb  005/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Feb-27 Feb  007/005-007/005-007/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Feb a 27 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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