Viendo archivo del domingo, 30 junio 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jun 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 181 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jun 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity was low. The highlight of the period was
a very long duration, C2 X-ray event that began around 0915Z, peaked
at 1257Z, and ended at 1625Z. This event was associated with an
impressive coronal mass ejection off the SE limb, near Region 19
(S18E61). This event followed another CME associated with a filament
eruption from near S40W10. Neither CME appears earthbound. Region
19 is a moderately complex spot group with a white light area of
over 400 millionths. Region 17 (S19W23) has also increased in size
and appears to have developed some magnetic complexity.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
at low levels. There is a chance for an isolated M-class flare from
Regions 17 and 19.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetical field was quiet to unsettled with isolated high
latitude active periods.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated
active periods during local nighttime hours.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jun 147 Previsto 01 Jul-03 Jul 145/145/140 Media de 90 Días 30 Jun 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jun 005/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jun 012/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Jul-03 Jul 010/010-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Jul a 03 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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