Viendo archivo del domingo, 1 septiembre 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Sep 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 244 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Sep 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity was at low levels. The largest event
was an optically uncorrelated C6.7 flare at 01/0933 UTC. Region 95
(N08E38) has simplified to a beta-gamma magnetic configuration,
losing the delta configuration in the trailing spot. The
intermediate spots still show some signs of mixing polarities.
Region 87 (S08W61) now has a simple beta magnetic configuration and
has decreased in area and spot count. Three new regions were
numbered today: Region 99 (S03E27), Region 100 (S20E67), and Region
101 (N03E71).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region 95 has the potential for M-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels with one
three-hour period of isolated active conditions at 01/0300 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Sep a 04 Sep
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Sep 181 Previsto 02 Sep-04 Sep 175/175/170 Media de 90 Días 01 Sep 169
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 31 Aug 007/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Sep 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Sep-04 Sep 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Sep a 04 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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