Viendo archivo del martes, 24 septiembre 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Sep 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 267 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Sep 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest flare of the past
day was a C3/Sf at 24/1602 UTC in Region 119 (S13W76). This region
continues to decay slowly. The rate of growth in Region 132 (N19W28)
has decreased since yesterday. New Region 134 (N11E79) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. A low-level M-class flare is possible in Region 119 or
132.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Sep 158 Previsto 25 Sep-27 Sep 150/145/140 Media de 90 Días 24 Sep 178
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Sep 000/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 003/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep 005/007-005/007-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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