Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 noviembre 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Nov 08 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 312 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Nov 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Several C-class flares occurred, mostly in Region 180 (S10W28). This region remains relatively large and magnetically complex. Other disk regions were quiet. New Region 191 (S17E74) is rotating into view.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 180 is the most likely source of M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was moderate to high.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to become unsettled to active by 10 November due to a coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Nov a 11 Nov
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 Nov 189
  Previsto   09 Nov-11 Nov  190/185/185
  Media de 90 Días        08 Nov 178
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 Nov  010/014
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 Nov  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 Nov-11 Nov  008/010-015/020-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Nov a 11 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%10%10%

All times in UTC

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