Viendo archivo del domingo, 24 noviembre 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Nov 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 328 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Nov 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 198 (S18W36)
produced a long duration C1/Sf event at 24/1809 UTC. This region
remains mostly unchanged and continues to maintain its beta-gamma
magnetic configuration. A new region was numbered today as Region
202 (N14E66).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 198 has the potential to produce an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosychronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Nov a 27 Nov
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Nov 146 Previsto 25 Nov-27 Nov 150/155/160 Media de 90 Días 24 Nov 172
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Nov 010/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Nov 018/018 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Nov-27 Nov 010/012-010/012-008/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Nov a 27 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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