Viendo archivo del martes, 7 enero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jan 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 007 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jan 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. Region 244 (S23W01)
produced an M1/1f event at 07/0750 UTC. Region 242 (S06W09) has
shown significant growth and is now at 340 millionths of penumbral
coverage with 36 spots. Four new regions were numbered today as
Region's 248 (S11W41), 249 (S16E18), 250 (S27E79), and 251 (S14E81).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Region's 242 and 244 have potential to produce an
isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled. Active conditions
are possible on 10 January due to the effects from a recurrent
coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jan a 10 Jan
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jan 163 Previsto 08 Jan-10 Jan 165/170/175 Media de 90 Días 07 Jan 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jan 002/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jan 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan 008/010-010/010-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jan a 10 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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