Viendo archivo del viernes, 17 enero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jan 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 017 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jan 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. A small, four degree
filament near S03W04 disappeared sometime between 16/2338 UTC and
17/1452 UTC. Region 259 (N09E26) showed moderate growth but could
only muster a B-class subflare. The remainder of the solar disk was
quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Real-time
solar wind data indicated a solar sector boundary crossing at about
1200 UTC on 17 January.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be generally unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jan a 20 Jan
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Jan 142 Previsto 18 Jan-20 Jan 135/135/125 Media de 90 Días 17 Jan 162
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jan 004/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Jan 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Jan-20 Jan 010/012-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jan a 20 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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