Viendo archivo del miércoles, 22 enero 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jan 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 022 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jan 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was at moderate levels. Region 260
produced an M1.2/1f flare at 22/0444 UTC. This region has seen
steady decay in magnetic complexity and penumbral coverage during
the period. Region 269 (S09E63) has been quiescent today and
appears to be a simple magnetic beta group. Region 267 (S20E51) has
shown slow but steady growth since rotating onto disk. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Regions 267 and 269 have a slight chance of producing
low level M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly unsettled levels. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to minor storm levels. A recurrent
coronal hole is expected to become geoeffective on day one of the
forecast period. Days two and three should experience similar
conditions.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Jan 130 Previsto 23 Jan-25 Jan 125/125/120 Media de 90 Días 22 Jan 160
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jan 009/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Jan 010/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Jan-25 Jan 020/020-020/025-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jan a 25 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
miércoles, 31 diciembre 2025
Happy New Year! Celebrate with an M7.1 solar flare!
domingo, 7 diciembre 2025
M8.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
lunes, 1 diciembre 2025
X1.9 solar flare, Coronal hole faces Earth
Últimos mensajes del foro
CME from M7.1 Dec. 31st 11Happy new year 16AR 4325 21Geminid Meteor Shower 34Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 77
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 08/12/2025 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 31/12/2025 | M7.2 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/12/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| enero 2026 | 120 -4 |
| Last 30 days | 114.5 +16.4 |