Viendo archivo del martes, 8 abril 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Apr 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 098 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Apr 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. The largest
event was a B7 flare at 08/0520Z. Region 330 (N07E10) continues a
gradual growth phase and has developed a beta-gamma magnetic
configuration.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels. Regions 325(N14W77) and 330 have C-class
potential.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. A CME shock
from the M1 event on 04 April arrived early today with a 33 nT
sudden impulse at 08/0115Z recorded on the Boulder magnetometer. Bz
reached values near minus 10 nT and solar wind velocity reached peak
values near 500 km/s. Unsettled to active levels were observed at
mid latitudes and an isolated minor storm condition on the planetary
index.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels. Coronal hole high speed
stream effects are expected on day two and day three of the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Apr 112 Previsto 09 Apr-11 Apr 105/100/095 Media de 90 Días 08 Apr 133
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Apr 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Apr 015/023 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Apr-11 Apr 012/015-020/020-020/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Apr a 11 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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