Viendo archivo del miércoles, 2 julio 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jul 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 183 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Jul 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 397 (N10E13)
produced an M3/1f at 0728 UTC. The group has shown some decay of the
spots in the middle portion of the group and loss of the delta
configuration, but there has been some growth in the trailer spots.
The magnetic classification for the group is now beta-gamma,
reflecting its multiple inversion line structure. Region 400
(N04E58) has rotated more fully into view as a small, D-type region
and managed to produced a C1/Sf.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
mostly low, but there continues to be a fair chance for an isolated
M-class event during the next three days from Region 397.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled during the past 24 hours.
Solar wind conditions were nominal until about 1800 UTC when an
increase was observed in speed and temperature and a decrease was
observed in density. This might indicate the onset of the
anticipated high speed solar wind stream. The greater than 2 MeV
electron fluxes were at high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next 24 hours, and mostly
active for the second and third days. The increase is expected as a
result of a high speed wind stream associated with a favorably
positioned coronal hole. There is a possibility for isolated storm
periods, particularly at the higher latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Jul a 05 Jul
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Jul 135 Previsto 03 Jul-05 Jul 140/145/150 Media de 90 Días 02 Jul 123
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Jul 014/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Jul 012/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul 015/020-020/025-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Jul a 05 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
domingo, 1 febrero 2026
Complex sunspot region 4366
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
domingo, 18 enero 2026
X1.9 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
AR4379/4380 14CME March 1 7Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 216Filaments and prominences 494Did ChatGPT Find a New Solar Physics Formula? 24
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 04/02/2026 | X4.21 |
| Último evento clase M | 25/02/2026 | M2.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 22/02/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Last 365 days | 3 días |
| 2026 | 3 días (5%) |
| Último día sin manchas | 24/02/2026 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| enero 2026 | 112.6 -11.4 |
| febrero 2026 | 75.5 -37.1 |
| Last 30 days | 81.7 -39.4 |