Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 julio 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Jul 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 207 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jul 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. Regions remain quiet and
stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to minor storm conditions. Solar
wind speeds began to increase today after 26/1830 UTC from around
400 km/s to above 560 km/s, with a sustained southward Bz. The
probable source of this high speed stream is a E-W oriented coronal
hole which is now rotating into a geoeffective location.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at unsettled to active levels with periods of minor
storm conditions. Effects of the high speed solar wind should
persist through the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jul a 29 Jul
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Jul 103 Previsto 27 Jul-29 Jul 105/110/120 Media de 90 Días 26 Jul 127
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jul 008/011 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Jul 020/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Jul-29 Jul 020/030-020/030-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jul a 29 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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