Viendo archivo del jueves, 27 noviembre 2003
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2003 Nov 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 331 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Nov 2003IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 508 (S19W31) has
produced the most activity, including the largest flare of the
period, a C9.6/Sf at 27/0820 UTC. No regions exhibited significant
development. Region 507 (N07W43) continues a slow decay and is now
in a beta-gamma magnetic configuration. New Region 514 (S16W46) was
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. M-class flares remain possible from Region 507 and
Region 508.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet. Solar wind speed continues in
gradual decline. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with isolated periods of active
conditions in higher latitudes on 29-30 November.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Nov a 30 Nov
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Nov 175 Previsto 28 Nov-30 Nov 170/160/150 Media de 90 Días 27 Nov 132
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Nov 004/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Nov 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Nov-30 Nov 008/010-010/015-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Nov a 30 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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