Viendo archivo del miércoles, 21 abril 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Apr 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 112 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Apr 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 596 (S07E19)
produced the only C-class events in the past 24 hours. The daily
consensus for this region has it as a magnetic beta-gamma
configuration, however, earlier in the period a small delta
configuration developed. A new region was numbered today as Region
598 (S05W30).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
Region 596 is expected to continue producing C-class flares with a
chance for an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Apr a 24 Apr
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Apr 113 Previsto 22 Apr-24 Apr 115/120/120 Media de 90 Días 21 Apr 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Apr 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Apr 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Apr-24 Apr 005/008-010/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Apr a 24 Apr
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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