Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 mayo 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 May 08 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 129 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 May 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. Only low level B-class flares were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated periods of active conditions are possible for 10-11 May as a result of the C1 flare and CME on 07 May.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 May a 11 May
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       08 May 087
  Previsto   09 May-11 May  090/095/095
  Media de 90 Días        08 May 106
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 07 May  013/017
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 08 May  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May  005/010-010/015-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 May a 11 May
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%25%25%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%30%30%
Tormenta Menor05%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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