Viendo archivo del miércoles, 9 junio 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 161 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Jun 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. No significant changes have been noted in current active regions on the sun.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at mostly unsettled levels with an isolated period of active on 9 June at 1200Z. The interplanetary magnetic field has been at slightly negative polarity for extended periods. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain mostly unsettled for the remainder of 9 June. The possible glancing blow from a coronal mass ejection may elevate the geomagnetic field to active levels with a very slight chance for isolated minor storming on 10 June, returning to quiet to active levels for 11 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Jun a 12 Jun
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Jun 085
  Previsto   10 Jun-12 Jun  090/095/095
  Media de 90 Días        09 Jun 103
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Jun  006/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Jun  012/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun  012/020-012/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Jun a 12 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%35%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%

All times in UTC

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