Viendo archivo del lunes, 14 junio 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 166 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Jun 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was low. Infrequent C-class activity
occurred, from Region 634 (N13E60) and newly numbered Region 635
(S08E70). These two active centers dominate an otherwise dull
visible disk. Region 634 is 350 millionths in white light area. The
limbs were quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low,
with some chance of an isolated M-class flare from either Region 634
or 635.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Gusts of fast solar wind
reached 550 km/s as a high speed stream began to affect the
magnetosphere midway through the day.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active for the next three days. Coronal
hole effects are anticipated to linger through 17 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Jun a 17 Jun
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Jun 100 Previsto 15 Jun-17 Jun 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 14 Jun 102
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Jun 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Jun 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Jun-17 Jun 015/015-015/015-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Jun a 17 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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