Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 junio 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Jun 17 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 169 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Jun 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z

Solar activity was low. There was just one C-class event during the past 24 hours, a C1/Sf at 0238 UTC from Region 634 (N12E20). Regions 634 and 635 (S11E38) continue to dominate the disk with their size and are growing slowly, but remain relatively stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low. There is a slight chance, however, for an isolated M-class event from either Region 634 or Region 635.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with some isolated periods of unsettled levels. The solar wind velocity remains slightly elevated (450-550 km/s) but contains only weak magnetic fields (mostly between -3 nT to +3 nT).
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Jun a 20 Jun
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       17 Jun 111
  Previsto   18 Jun-20 Jun  110/110/110
  Media de 90 Días        17 Jun 102
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 16 Jun  007/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 17 Jun  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 18 Jun-20 Jun  010/010-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Jun a 20 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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