Viendo archivo del lunes, 23 agosto 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Aug 23 2210 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 236 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Aug 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity was very low. B-class flares were
observed in Regions 661 (N07W60), 663 (N11E26), and 664 (S11W03).
Regions 661 and 664 are simple beta groups that exhibited little
change over the past 24 hours. Region 663, in a beta-gamma
configuration, is more complex, but has decayed slightly this
period. Remaining active regions were stable or in decay.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a small chance for a C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The IMF Bz was
predominantly southward; however, solar wind speed has declined to
near 400 km/s . The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. Isolated active periods
are possible at high latitudes.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Aug 110 Previsto 24 Aug-26 Aug 110/105/095 Media de 90 Días 23 Aug 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Aug 008/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Aug 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Aug-26 Aug 010/015-008/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Aug a 26 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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