Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 septiembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Sep 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 250 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Sep 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted
of a few B-class flares, mostly from Region 667 (S11E09). New Region
671 (S10W29) emerged on the disk today and is a small, D-type group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Regions 667, 669 (S07E19), and 671 have the potential
for producing isolated C-class events during the next three days
(07-09 September).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet to unsettled during the past
24 hours. There was one active period from 0900-1200 UTC. Solar wind
data indicate a small increase in speed during the past 24 hours,
and the interplanetary magnetic field component Bz is fluctuating
between +6 and -6 nT. These signatures are suggestive of a weak
coronal hole wind stream.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly unsettled for the next three days
(07-09 September).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Sep a 09 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Sep 107 Previsto 07 Sep-09 Sep 110/110/115 Media de 90 Días 06 Sep 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Sep 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Sep 012/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep 010/012-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Sep a 09 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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