Viendo archivo del miércoles, 22 septiembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Sep 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 266 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Sep 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. A C3.2 flare occurred from
Region 673 (S13W17) at 22/0920Z. Region 672 (N04, L=351) has
rotated around the west limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with minor storming
levels from 1200Z to 1500Z. Active levels were observed from 1500Z
to 1800Z. The minor storm levels were attributed to a CME from a
M-class flare on 19 September. Solar wind speed increased to
approximately 530 km/s from 1850Z to 2045Z. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with an isolated active period
possible.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Sep 091 Previsto 23 Sep-25 Sep 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 22 Sep 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 006/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Sep 016/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep 008/015-005/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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