Viendo archivo del viernes, 24 septiembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Sep 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Sep 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity decreased to very low levels. Region
673 (S13W44) produced several minor B-class flares. The largest was
a B5 x-ray flare that occurred at 24/0245Z. This region exhibits a
simple beta class magnetic structure and is the only spotted active
region reported today. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels. Region 673 has a slight chance of producing an
isolated C-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Sep 089 Previsto 25 Sep-27 Sep 090/090/095 Media de 90 Días 24 Sep 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Sep 010/012 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Sep 004/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep 004/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Sep a 27 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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