Viendo archivo del viernes, 8 octubre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Oct 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 282 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Oct 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 680 (N14W83)
was newly numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels. There's a small
chance for isolated periods of active levels beginning on 11 Oct due
to the influence of a recurrent high-speed solar wind stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Oct 091 Previsto 09 Oct-11 Oct 095/095/090 Media de 90 Días 08 Oct 112
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Oct 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Oct 005/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Oct-11 Oct 005/007-005/007-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Oct a 11 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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