Viendo archivo del lunes, 11 octubre 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Oct 11 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 285 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Oct 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. There are no numbered regions on the active disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled, with one period of isolated active conditions.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled, with isolated active conditions possible all three days from the effects of a recurrent high speed solar wind stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Oct a 14 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Oct 087
  Previsto   12 Oct-14 Oct  080/080/080
  Media de 90 Días        11 Oct 111
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Oct  005/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Oct  008/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Oct-14 Oct  012/015-015/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Oct a 14 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%35%35%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%40%40%
Tormenta Menor15%20%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%15%15%

All times in UTC

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