Viendo archivo del sábado, 13 noviembre 2004

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 318 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Nov 2004

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Activity was limited to occasional B-class activity this period. Several new spots emerged in Region 700 (N05W27), but other than occasional brightness fluctuations, the region was quiet. No other significant activity or changes were noted.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. Isolated low C-class activity is possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with isolated high latitude active periods. Solar wind speed remains slightly elevated, ranging from 450 to 500 km/s. The greater than 10 MeV proton event that began on 07/1910Z is nearing an end. The current proton flux is ranging from 5 to 10 pfu. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods. The greater than 2 MeV proton event in progress since 07 November is expected to end today.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Nov a 16 Nov
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón05%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Nov 096
  Previsto   14 Nov-16 Nov  095/095/100
  Media de 90 Días        13 Nov 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Nov  023/030
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Nov  010/012
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov  008/010-008/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Nov a 16 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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