Viendo archivo del lunes, 22 noviembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Nov 22 2210 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 327 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Nov 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. A long duration event C1.1
flare occurred at 22/0757. SXI showed the primary contributions to
the event from regions on the east and west limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Isolated active periods
were observed at mid latitudes between 0600 to 0900 UTC, and high
latitudes between 0300 to 0900 UTC. Solar wind speed has declined
from 600 km/s to 500 km/s during this reporting period. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. On 25 November, there is a
possibility of active periods due to the effects of a coronal hole
high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Nov a 25 Nov
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Nov 106 Previsto 23 Nov-25 Nov 110/115/115 Media de 90 Días 22 Nov 106
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Nov 009/016 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Nov 008/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Nov-25 Nov 004/008-004/008-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Nov a 25 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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