Viendo archivo del jueves, 2 diciembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Dec 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 337 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 Dec 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 707 (S14W37)
produced a few small B-class flares but was otherwise quiet. Region
708 (N09E01), which produced M-class activity yesterday, was stable
today. Growth in both regions has slowed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. C-class activity is possible in Regions 707 and 708.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The coronal hole
induced activity of the past few days is ending. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high. The
Fredericksburg A index for 01 Dec reported in Part V is estimated
from Boulder observations.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet. Activity levels may increase by 05 Dec
as another coronal hole high-speed stream rotates into position.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 Dec a 05 Dec
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 Dec 106 Previsto 03 Dec-05 Dec 105/100/100 Media de 90 Días 02 Dec 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 01 Dec 011/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 02 Dec 008/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 03 Dec-05 Dec 005/005-005/005-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 Dec a 05 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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