Viendo archivo del domingo, 5 diciembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Dec 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 340 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Dec 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was low. A B3.1 flare occurred at
05/1710 from Region 706 (S07W74). No new regions were numbered
today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated active
period between 0600 UTC and 0900 UTC due to the arrival of a CME
which occurred on 03 December. A shock was observed at ACE at
05/0656. A sudden impulse was observed on the Boulder magnetometer
at 05/0747 with a deviation of 47 nT. The greater than 2 MeV
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. An isolated active period is
possible on 06 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Dec a 08 Dec
| Clase M | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Dec 096 Previsto 06 Dec-08 Dec 095/090/090 Media de 90 Días 05 Dec 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Dec 000/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Dec 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Dec-08 Dec 008/015-008/015-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Dec a 08 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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