Viendo archivo del martes, 7 diciembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Dec 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 342 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Dec 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. No new regions
were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels. A period of
minor storm conditions did occur at high latitudes between 07/0300
and 0600Z and is believed to be in response to a waning coronal
hole. Solar wind velocity has been at or near 500 km/s throughout
most of the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet to unsettled levels throughout
the period with isolated active conditions possible on the first day
(8 Dec) as the geoeffective coronal hole rotates off the solar west
limb. The remainder of the period should return to quiet to
unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Dec a 10 Dec
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Dec 090 Previsto 08 Dec-10 Dec 090/095/095 Media de 90 Días 07 Dec 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Dec 011/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Dec 009/015 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec 008/015-008/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Dec a 10 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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