Viendo archivo del lunes, 20 diciembre 2004
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2004 Dec 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 355 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Dec 2004IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 713 (S09E34) has
grown in white light area coverage to over 200 millionths and has
developed a magnetic beta-gamma configuration. No new regions were
numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. Region 713 could possibly produce an isolated C-class
event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. Isolated active periods are
possible on 22 December due to the influence of a recurrent coronal
hole high speed solar wind stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Dec a 23 Dec
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Dec 094 Previsto 21 Dec-23 Dec 100/100/105 Media de 90 Días 20 Dec 104
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Dec 001/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Dec 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Dec-23 Dec 008/010-015/020-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Dec a 23 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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