Viendo archivo del miércoles, 26 enero 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jan 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 026 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jan 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 727 (S09E11) underwent a slight decay in sunspot area today. No new regions were numbered this period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels today. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels. There is a chance of isolated active conditions at high latitudes on 27 and 28 January. Minor to major storming is possible on 29 January due to the onset of a recurrent high speed coronal hole stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jan a 29 Jan
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 Jan 089
  Previsto   27 Jan-29 Jan  090/095/095
  Media de 90 Días        26 Jan 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jan  002/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 Jan  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 Jan-29 Jan  004/010-006/015-018/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jan a 29 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%40%
Tormenta Menor05%05%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%15%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%30%30%
Tormenta Menor05%15%40%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%20%

All times in UTC

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