Viendo archivo del jueves, 27 enero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Jan 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 027 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jan 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 727
(S09W02) continues to trend towards a slow and steady decay. No new
regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for 28 January. A
recurrent high speed coronal hole stream is expected to become
geoeffective on 29 January with minor to major storming possible.
Periods of active to minor storm levels are possible on 30 January
from the continued effects of the anticipated high speed stream.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jan 087 Previsto 28 Jan-30 Jan 085/090/090 Media de 90 Días 27 Jan 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 000/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jan 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jan-30 Jan 004/015-018/030-016/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 15% | 15% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 40% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 20% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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