Viendo archivo del martes, 22 febrero 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 22 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 053 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Feb 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity was at very low levels today. Region 735 (S09W85) underwent little noticeable change during the period and has begun to exit the solar western limb. Region 736 (N13W77) appears to have had a growth in sunspot area today as it also begins to exit the visible disk. B-class flare activity was observed from both of these regions today. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels throughout the period.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels today. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through 23 February. A recurrent high speed coronal hole stream should become geoeffective on 24 February. Active conditions are possible on 24 and 25 February due to the coronal hole influences.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Feb a 25 Feb
Clase M05%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Feb 092
  Previsto   23 Feb-25 Feb  090/085/085
  Media de 90 Días        22 Feb 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Feb  004/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Feb  003/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Feb-25 Feb  004/012-008/015-012/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Feb a 25 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%20%25%
Tormenta Menor01%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%30%30%
Tormenta Menor05%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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