Viendo archivo del miércoles, 9 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 040 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 732 (N14E28) produced a
C1.2 flare at 08/2144Z. New Region 734 (S04E71) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active with an isolated minor
storm period between O600Z and 0900Z. This elevated activity was
due to persistence of a coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind
speed at ACE fluctuated around 700 to 750 km/s throughout the
period. Bz was oscillating between +/- 5 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to active levels with a slight chance
for isolated minor storm periods.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Feb a 12 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Feb 109 Previsto 10 Feb-12 Feb 115/115/115 Media de 90 Días 09 Feb 099
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Feb 027/034 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Feb 016/025 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Feb-12 Feb 010/015-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Feb a 12 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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