Viendo archivo del viernes, 11 febrero 2005
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Feb 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 042 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Feb 2005IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity has been low. A C1.0 flare occurred
from Region 734 (S04E44) at 11/1000Z. LASCO imagery showed a CME
off the SE limb at 11/0254Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind speed at
ACE showed a decline from approximately 680 km/s to 620 km/s during
the reporting period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was high again today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on 12 - 14 February. Today's CME
is not expected to be geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Feb a 14 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Feb 114 Previsto 12 Feb-14 Feb 115/115/110 Media de 90 Días 11 Feb 100
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Feb 011/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Feb 008/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Feb-14 Feb 008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Feb a 14 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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