Viendo archivo del viernes, 18 marzo 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 18 2210 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 077 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Mar 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity increased to low levels today. Region 743 (S08W44) produced the largest event of the period, a C1 x-ray event that occurred at 18/0235 UTC. A magnetic gamma structure has become apparent in the lead portion of the spot group. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Mar a 21 Mar
Clase M05%05%05%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Mar 096
  Previsto   19 Mar-21 Mar  095/095/095
  Media de 90 Días        18 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Mar  008/012
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Mar  005/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Mar-21 Mar  005/005-005/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Mar a 21 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa03%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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