Viendo archivo del jueves, 31 marzo 2005

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2005 Mar 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, #Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. #

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 090 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Mar 2005

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z

Solar activity remains at very low levels. Regions 747 (S07E23) and 748 (N09E59) are both HSX alpha spot groups that were numbered today. Region 745 (N11W80) continues a slow decay and is now spotless.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at very low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through 1 April. Isolated minor storming conditions are expected late on 2 April due to the onset of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream and should continue through 3 April.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Apr a 03 Apr
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       31 Mar 077
  Previsto   01 Apr-03 Apr  080/085/085
  Media de 90 Días        31 Mar 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 30 Mar  006/009
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 31 Mar  005/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr  008/010-015/015-015/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Apr a 03 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%30%30%
Tormenta Menor05%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%30%40%
Tormenta Menor05%10%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%10%

All times in UTC

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